Polymarket•Outcome: 40%+

Google Gemini 3 score on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

Trading:40%+

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini 3 model with a score of at least the specified score by the specified January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

All Outcomes (4)

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Outcome	Probability	Volume
30%+	100.0%	$123,722
35%	100.0%	$79,735
Current40%+	12.5%	$436,652
45%	4.6%	$75,333

Total Probability217.1% (market may be mispriced)

Polymarketopen

12.5%

Yes

Yes12.5%

No87.5%

24h Volume

$640

Total Volume

$436,652

Open Interest

$4,172

Trade on Polymarket

12.5%-64.79%

Yes

High

56.0%

Low

9.5%

Open

35.5%

Polymarket•715 data points

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Google Gemini 3 score on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

All Outcomes (4)

Google Gemini 3 score on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

All Outcomes (4)

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