SimpleFunctions

2026 American Music Award for Collaboration of the Year

2026 American Music Award for Collaboration of the Year is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 95¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

24¢ current

+7¢
20¢
May 1, 2026May 7, 2026

Contract brief

If What I Want has won Collaboration of the Year at the 2026 American Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

2026 American Music Award for Collaboration of the Year

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$60

Identifier

KXAMA-26-COTY-WHA

May 26, 2026, 3:40 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

24¢
Latest venue quote
May 26, 2026, 3:40 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

97¢

Spread

95¢

Reported volume

$60

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

May 25, 2027

Family volume

$60

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 97¢

Kalshi
95¢ spread
BidSize
2¢2
AskSize
97¢1
98¢32
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If What I Want has won Collaboration of the Year at the 2026 American Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 25, 2027

Identifier

KXAMA-26-COTY-WHA

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$60

Outcomes

1

Highest price

2026 American Music Award for Collaboration of the Year 24¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.