2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist
Dougie F is priced at 4¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist.
Price history
4¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If Dougie F has been nominated for Best New Artist at the 69th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Dougie F
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Ella Langley 90¢
Range
1¢-90¢
Family volume
$35
Identifier
KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-DOU
May 25, 2026, 7:33 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist
Closes
Nov 1, 2027
Family volume
$35
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Dougie F has been nominated for Best New Artist at the 69th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 1, 2027
Identifier
KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-DOU
Event family
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$35
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Ella Langley 90¢
Current share
0%
Ella Langley
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-ELL
Geese
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-GEE
Dijon
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-DIJ
Mk.gee
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-MKG
JADE
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-JAD
SAILORR
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-SAI
Dougie F
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-DOU
Jane Handcock
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-JAN
Celeste
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-CEL
Amber Mark
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-AMB
CMAT
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-CMA
PARTYOF2
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-PAR
Yazmin Lacey
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-YAZ
Laila!
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-LAI
Nami
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-NAM
Joyce Wrice
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-JOY
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
maker
Score
0.295
Observability
none
Event type
cultural
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.