2026 James Beard Award for Best New Bar
Later Bye is priced at 34¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside 2026 James Beard Award for Best New Bar.
Price history
34¢ current
+31¢Contract brief
If Later Bye has won Best New Bar at the 36th James Beard Restaurant and Chef Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Later Bye
Rank
#1 of 6
Leader
Later Bye 34¢
Range
1¢-34¢
Family volume
$490
Identifier
KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNB-LAT
May 28, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
34¢
Ask
35¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$66
Family rank
#1 of 6
6 outcomes · 2026 James Beard Award for Best New Bar
Closes
Jun 16, 2027
Family volume
$490
Orderbook snapshot
34 / 35¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Later Bye has won Best New Bar at the 36th James Beard Restaurant and Chef Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 16, 2027
Identifier
KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNB-LAT
Event family
2026 James Beard Award for Best New Bar.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$490
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Later Bye 34¢
Current share
13%
Later Bye
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNB-LAT
Loma
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNB-LOM
Clemente Bar
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNB-CLE
Bar Chenin
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNB-BAR
Bar, Please!
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNB-BARP
Tie
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNB-TIE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 34% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.