2026 James Beard Award for Best New Bar
Loma is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside 2026 James Beard Award for Best New Bar.
Price history
21¢ current
+19¢Contract brief
If Loma has won Best New Bar at the 36th James Beard Restaurant and Chef Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Loma
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
Later Bye 34¢
Range
1¢-34¢
Family volume
$490
Identifier
KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNB-LOM
May 28, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
21¢
Ask
22¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$200
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · 2026 James Beard Award for Best New Bar
Closes
Jun 16, 2027
Family volume
$490
Orderbook snapshot
21 / 22¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Loma has won Best New Bar at the 36th James Beard Restaurant and Chef Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 16, 2027
Identifier
KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNB-LOM
Event family
2026 James Beard Award for Best New Bar.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$490
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Later Bye 34¢
Current share
41%
Later Bye
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNB-LAT
Loma
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNB-LOM
Clemente Bar
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNB-CLE
Bar Chenin
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNB-BAR
Bar, Please!
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNB-BARP
Tie
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNB-TIE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.