2026 James Beard Award for Best New Restaurant
Agnes and Sherman is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 11 inside 2026 James Beard Award for Best New Restaurant.
Price history
6¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If Agnes and Sherman has won Best New Restaurant at the 36th James Beard Restaurant and Chef Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Agnes and Sherman
Rank
#9 of 11
Leader
Anjin 13¢
Range
2¢-13¢
Family volume
$665
Identifier
KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNR-AGN
May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$49
Family rank
#9 of 11
11 outcomes · 2026 James Beard Award for Best New Restaurant
Closes
Jun 16, 2027
Family volume
$665
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Agnes and Sherman has won Best New Restaurant at the 36th James Beard Restaurant and Chef Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 16, 2027
Identifier
KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNR-AGN
Event family
2026 James Beard Award for Best New Restaurant.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$665
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Anjin 13¢
Current share
7%
Anjin
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNR-ANJ
Tamba
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNR-TAM
Maison Bar à Vins
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNR-MAI
Lei
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNR-LEI
Ki
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNR-KI
Robin
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNR-ROB
1033 Omakase
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNR-103
Merci
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNR-MER
Emmett
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNR-EMM
Agnes and Sherman
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNR-AGN
Tie
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-BNR-TIE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.