2026 James Beard Award for Outstanding Bar
Bow & Arrow Brewing Co. is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 6 inside 2026 James Beard Award for Outstanding Bar.
Price history
9¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Bow & Arrow Brewing Co. has won Outstanding Bar at the 36th James Beard Restaurant and Chef Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Bow & Arrow Brewing Co.
Rank
#5 of 6
Leader
The Lovers Bar at Friday Saturday Sunday 35¢
Range
1¢-35¢
Family volume
$403
Identifier
KXJAMESBEARD-36-OBA-BOW
May 28, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$200
Family rank
#5 of 6
6 outcomes · 2026 James Beard Award for Outstanding Bar
Closes
Jun 16, 2027
Family volume
$403
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 9¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Bow & Arrow Brewing Co. has won Outstanding Bar at the 36th James Beard Restaurant and Chef Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 16, 2027
Identifier
KXJAMESBEARD-36-OBA-BOW
Event family
2026 James Beard Award for Outstanding Bar.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$403
Outcomes
6
Highest price
The Lovers Bar at Friday Saturday Sunday 35¢
Current share
50%
The Lovers Bar at Friday Saturday Sunday
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-OBA-LOV
Smuggler's Cove
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-OBA-SMU
Onyx Coffee Lab
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-OBA-ONY
Scotch Lodge
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-OBA-SCO
Bow & Arrow Brewing Co.
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-OBA-BOW
Tie
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-OBA-TIE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.