2026 James Beard Award for Outstanding Restaurant presented by Acqua Panna® Natural Spring Water
Kalaya is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside 2026 James Beard Award for Outstanding Restaurant presented by Acqua Panna® Natural Spring Water.
Price history
25¢ current
+23¢Contract brief
If Kalaya has won Outstanding Restaurant presented by Acqua Panna® Natural Spring Water at the 36th James Beard Restaurant and Chef Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Kalaya
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
Mixtli 30¢
Range
2¢-30¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXJAMESBEARD-36-OR-KAL
May 28, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
25¢
Ask
26¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$200
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · 2026 James Beard Award for Outstanding Restaurant presented by Acqua Panna® Natural Spring Water
Closes
Jun 16, 2027
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
25 / 26¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Kalaya has won Outstanding Restaurant presented by Acqua Panna® Natural Spring Water at the 36th James Beard Restaurant and Chef Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 16, 2027
Identifier
KXJAMESBEARD-36-OR-KAL
Event family
2026 James Beard Award for Outstanding Restaurant presented by Acqua Panna® Natural Spring Water.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Mixtli 30¢
Current share
7%
Mixtli
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-OR-MIX
Kalaya
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-OR-KAL
Vicia
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-OR-VIC
The Four Horsemen
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-OR-FOU
The Catbird Seat
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-OR-CAT
Tie
kalshi · KXJAMESBEARD-36-OR-TIE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 25% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.