SimpleFunctions

Matteo Berrettini to win 2026 Men's French Open

Matteo Berrettini is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside 2026 Men's French Open Winner.

Price history

0¢ current

50¢
0¢25¢50¢
Apr 28, 2026Apr 28, 2026

Contract brief

The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome

Matteo Berrettini

Rank

#10 of 16

Leader

Jannik Sinner 73¢

Range

0¢-73¢

Family volume

$14.3M

Identifier

0x46fd91a9...f5f7

May 26, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

0¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 26, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$8K

Family rank

#10 of 16

16 outcomes · 2026 Men's French Open Winner

Closes

Jun 7, 2026

Family volume

$14.3M

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 0¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
0¢2.6K
AskSize
0¢22K
0¢25K
2¢30
2¢47
2¢80
3¢140
100¢200
100¢10K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 7, 2026

Identifier

0x46fd91a9…f5f7

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

2026 Men's French Open Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$14.3M

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Jannik Sinner 73¢

Current share

1%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Jannik Sinner

polymarket · 0x23e817f30871533d3bd7da01e68b802c5fccb8f44f053ef4ea5789c8a28563fe

73¢
$687K$26K0.0

Alexander Zverev

polymarket · 0x739e756119534672538d8df821a5b3321e2c802d80afff0c5790126be9b41281

8¢
$712K$15K0.0

Novak Djokovic

polymarket · 0x226e885e5380a6fd143cf8aec4d4d7ce7feece4625cc2301f450655f377f8847

6¢
$764K$12K0.0

Rafael Jodar

polymarket · 0x3e166e94d38707543b2e951c325eb9b917468b99e75294d11cd853587364d934

5¢
$349K$24K0.0

Casper Ruud

polymarket · 0x018b3300ac367451ac9282425942e775f1015bb3c72b8a483153593bdb550b6e

2¢
$482K$44K

Joao Fonseca

polymarket · 0x24e67fb509df7efecc1840008153634d4852c0d2725d0a6c13f2e60beb2f2e2f

1¢
$7.6M$6K

Ben Shelton

polymarket · 0x2dba5d6bcf0ad364a444985f07286ebf2dc5bc0ee7989ef1227d14c245e301fb

1¢
$527K$13K

Learner Tien

polymarket · 0x2d8ddd9ea670f9992c03353c033062a0014ca09166d8b15b9489ae9e4e0b6ca4

1¢
$462K$29K

Andrey Rublev

polymarket · 0x5fd7a14573c76aff95dee08cc00dbc0e87a6c7ba374bad1300e9aff5f0b98611

1¢
$438K$11K

Daniil Medvedev

polymarket · 0x5f5bb674f7976e7357d14b6e6798e8353f9aef40cb59cda1cb1a0c13d86ba2b9

0¢
$454K$19K

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

polymarket · 0x90c7cb6fa207b4984f933eb2ad7b07e309f7e5f017e926b251d5f2b3d989e443

0¢
$367K$6K

Stefanos Tsitsipas

polymarket · 0xd70618488dccc0e829e236a7212014752d9981c44f723295648c7fa63c22a1c3

0¢
$363K$16K

Alexei Popyrin

polymarket · 0x634def7827304b73fcf1e6b63ccb8ca2230e0d3eeec9254d87319313dde0ac30

0¢
$336K$49K

Frances Tiafoe

polymarket · 0xb599d781347109dfc846c1ae5d6dd8afab6271a4ab0c792ae1c4e865a55772a1

0¢
$332K$39K

Karen Khachanov

polymarket · 0x22c6957b5507bd52206dfe1a6d8129a5b9c70415fabb4ed046d3b067e3fb87ef

0¢
$317K$6K

Matteo Berrettini

polymarket · 0x46fd91a9d61d35516cb18b81abe7f16f648be4e41061a174fa4243e9495df5f7

0¢
$145K$8K

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.