Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
This contract is priced at 50¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 49¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$3.9M
Best sibling
Novak Djokovic 9¢
Ticker
0x16b3e96f…ebb6
Market snapshot
Jannik Sinner in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?. The displayed quote is 50¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $206. In the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
Jannik Sinner
Family rank
#1 of 16
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
50¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jul 12, 2026
24h volume
$206
Family context
16 outcomes · 2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner
Quote range
0¢-50¢
Family leader
Jannik Sinner 50¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 7m ago
Venue identifier: 0x16b3e96fc29f37ff8a5309e82e1ebd11b6658b171dd788104d9a88c12cceebb6. Family volume: $3.9M.
Price history
50¢ current
+15¢Orderbook snapshot
49 / 51¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Identifier
0x16b3e96f…ebb6
Event family
2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$3.9M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Jannik Sinner 50¢
Current share
0%
Jannik Sinner
polymarket · 0x16b3e96fc29f37ff8a5309e82e1ebd11b6658b171dd788104d9a88c12cceebb6
Novak Djokovic
polymarket · 0x8ba7dc2b5682330a6064966b011f2a6dc6a95b4c6b8589157064f6331ab3e1cd
João Fonseca
polymarket · 0x543c5f943b84e11beba8c4a66ef91cc48e1e2c4297925adfc932d10b667723d9
Alexander Zverev
polymarket · 0x9f6c180ed79bccf08b3d58d23c6af3a87afd4d0b176e770c6951a573dcaee814
Andrey Rublev
polymarket · 0x28d44c5ddcc2d0457ec2b1acf3bac195d32d31e158305537c6b747776a63d479
Taylor Fritz
polymarket · 0xec3dc5cf04a4c0e9b0c8ab9991387bfdfc78d29dbbf76cdbccd31f90622cf523
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
polymarket · 0x6288cd45247687ca6b6a5fab5ca52e26d707f17ec87412acdd8154f990084d69
Lorenzo Sonego
polymarket · 0xf76c79fc9e1f2508db1212b8e6c278ef8597f430eb9dbd4dfe530f97748028ee
Lorenzo Musetti
polymarket · 0x369ea053f2da9cf6f7a985594c890439968cee9cd47e9b8c28733699c868eefb
Arthur Fils
polymarket · 0x89f49529537b39b6a4e9608133be4d4200a37f7cf2591993fb4cb94614edf161
Ben Shelton
polymarket · 0x4a4617306739297f19752f96b22b5cb7f234ac145ed5194d8189b3a51eb204fb
Alex Michelsen
polymarket · 0x47ddb92afa391f3abd668bbc56d9b36311d481d3048f488fd61b23f435f8756c
Alexander Bublik
polymarket · 0x1f4246deedf4f9a01e67ec0cb1b3d711d68e9bd7b4a68b4a5eea44494b2a96fd
Jakub Menšík
polymarket · 0x05add62bdd6df7536c5d3e5204164884896557ca4f43b6c7012ebf3ae65d66cd
Daniil Medvedev
polymarket · 0x87c22f297746a6c5984b88f963b315c255311425d18a80069a39272fbeb410bb
Gabriel Diallo
polymarket · 0x86eb5118e3615de3a91c9ad2324bdc80766f1d0d92cc7c728b0406c6290fe5c1
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
US Recession 2025? What 1% Prediction Market Odds Get Right—and Wrong—About the Cycle
Prediction markets put 2025 US recession odds near 1%, while yield curves, economic indicators, and institutional forecasts point to much higher risk. This deep dive compares market pricing to historical base rates, Federal Reserve policy, and forecasting models to see if investors are underpricing recession risk.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 50% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.