SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJul 1, 202658 days left

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

This contract is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 3¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 0¢ spread.

Implied probability

3¢
$20.6M volume
$373K liquidity
16% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$124.8M

Best sibling

San Antonio Spurs 20¢

Ticker

0x796e791e…7908

Price history

3¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 13, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 3¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
3¢1.3K
3¢13K
3¢9.8K
3¢286
3¢52
3¢1.2K
2¢5.4K
2¢5.5K
AskSize
3¢97
3¢679
4¢50
4¢172
4¢458
4¢12K
4¢5.5K
4¢4.8K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA. The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Identifier

0x796e791e…7908

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

20478.7%

IY (No)

19.6%

Adj IY

10239%

CRI

32

Overround

0.0%

LAS

0.00

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

20478.7%
19.6%
Adj IY
10239%
32
Overround
0.0%
LAS
0.00

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