SimpleFunctions

Diana Shnaider to win 2026 Women's French Open

Diana Shnaider is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside 2026 Women's French Open Winner.

Price history

0¢ current

50¢
0¢25¢50¢
Apr 28, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome

Diana Shnaider

Rank

#12 of 16

Leader

Aryna Sabalenka 26¢

Range

0¢-26¢

Family volume

$2.8M

Identifier

0xf0ab6a84...79f5

May 27, 2026, 2:21 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

0¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 27, 2026, 2:21 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$947

Family rank

#12 of 16

16 outcomes · 2026 Women's French Open Winner

Closes

Jun 6, 2026

Family volume

$2.8M

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 0¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
0¢10K
0¢5.9K
AskSize
0¢240
2¢100
2¢100
100¢349
100¢200
100¢467
100¢12K
100¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 6, 2026

Identifier

0xf0ab6a84…79f5

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

2026 Women's French Open Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2.8M

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Aryna Sabalenka 26¢

Current share

1%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Aryna Sabalenka

polymarket · 0x04b07eb732d888c94096b4fc46dc747b745e06749c21ed2e633ca7e1a6586647

26¢
$52K$2K0.0

Iga Świątek

polymarket · 0x80b8b8568be8e6d54f8417ce5ebf2e7971f97373556dc262a658d3dcaacd392a

23¢
$41K$1K0.0

Elena Rybakina

polymarket · 0xc8e467fbf7e96bd9bdf64ced89bbc8f6ad0ecf2c78391ee8e778b6f6e6194ee7

14¢
$293K$2K0.1

Coco Gauff

polymarket · 0x9ec71fa02a69c376465ef1d997dd3c2fb9da5a33b70c45e607bba1fcc1d05907

12¢
$43K$4K0.1

Mirra Andreeva

polymarket · 0x9baecdc68b73b7f4b69109dfb6d56282281b0cce490aa97af8b8129c2744ad6a

8¢
$113K$3K0.3

Elina Svitolina

polymarket · 0xa3879b3a8991b8335f3da24e98a15b90e72eb2e68b9f506fca224dabf45d3af6

6¢
$134K$2K0.0

Victoria Mboko

polymarket · 0x56dabf0425ea8f46866bf0ee3c72def39314874dc65da17ca3a05363aef30b33

2¢
$318K$1K

Amanda Anisimova

polymarket · 0xaf57b538d751df7c32f1007f160800bd14b58a5ff946ed52c9765adec205e1ff

1¢
$360K$1K

Belinda Bencic

polymarket · 0x11a09311e3bf0ac61315c930c8aaf28cedb2eed441ba89656d7eb940c27b3d1e

1¢
$276K$3K

Madison Keys

polymarket · 0x1e903aa958d3b4e58f60e3117f244a2d93a77d9acde7b56a74fcad68bf6ec87e

1¢
$184K$2K

Jasmine Paolini

polymarket · 0xd9d6ba92e4fe230e2faf265460970133274972a8af65736488fc225a8e482102

1¢
$128K$1K

Jessica Pegula

polymarket · 0x27a2ea3cda39696d7e73cd9626fe61c702c060b3a573c80b339cc0b9f38a068b

0¢
$359K$7K

Jelena Ostapenko

polymarket · 0x38ec479c88abcd972330f7e77a794ec5abf9c6bd7f0231197e69fdbde22491e5

0¢
$162K$1K

Maya Joint

polymarket · 0xe2b3ababbaa7e71894b0496be696a23b7375e31e54fdd11fa355c94c47dda852

0¢
$145K$494

Katie Boulter

polymarket · 0xe2692b8b9cf4f2773fe59434b30f0fcac76ff5a9db8915efca9b4b7e82944be6

0¢
$114K$685

Diana Shnaider

polymarket · 0xf0ab6a841f34737f9ba144a596720d20bc56bc5c91bce018dc7526c43d7679f5

0¢
$29K$947

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.