SimpleFunctions

Jessica Pegula · 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Jessica Pegula is priced at 2¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis).

Open on PolymarketView JSONEnter terminal

Price history

2¢ current

−48¢
0¢25¢50¢
Apr 28, 2026May 13, 2026

Contract brief

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome

Jessica Pegula

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

Elena Rybakina 12¢

Range

0¢-12¢

Family volume

$2.3M

Identifier

0x8ae48c75...1e27

May 28, 2026, 9:57 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

2¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 9:57 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

2¢

Ask

2¢

Spread

0¢

24h volume

$704

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Closes

Sep 13, 2026

Family volume

$2.3M

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 2¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
100¢500
2¢100
2¢20
2¢250
2¢334
2¢341
2¢57
AskSize
2¢293
2¢456
3¢200
3¢200
3¢114
3¢65
5¢50
6¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Sep 13, 2026

Identifier

0x8ae48c75…1e27

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis).

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2.3M

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Elena Rybakina 12¢

Current share

3%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Elena Rybakina

polymarket · 0x06a3407e2639729c2aefa0d124f4cec064875f47fb0a85e3b3a82978878e5a12

12¢
$66K$6K0.0

Amanda Anisimova

polymarket · 0x6f057692b6a3593c6a31ae25ab77176e930f0528946a788dce0cb3718b2bd501

3¢
$50K$9650.3

Jessica Pegula

polymarket · 0x8ae48c75da6e6a01d266952e6e5b6b5ca3f7dd7f9fb51759f167cc0028e61e27

2¢
$79K$704—

Anastasia Potapova

polymarket · 0xdaba177a8a9e34e55a1663bf89f7bc20e94829bbf5f254832d778d574fb29b54

1¢
$415K$1K0.3

Alexandra Eala

polymarket · 0xd44a98cbfcf6b7b5727f6c880b8ef86f10d4a5b50b616331011b75bec697a99c

1¢
$243K$454—

Qinwen Zheng

polymarket · 0x32abb83d872a85d5abca961367456a72ddb40fe756f945a16fb49940d17627ce

1¢
$219K$217K—

Belinda Bencic

polymarket · 0xb29c3fa25fd3ea56bbacc5f4cc937f49dbb107c96b70783387c544365fc7dfcb

1¢
$39K$2K—

Maya Joint

polymarket · 0x41a5918c346c37d31187083b13c86f717d46e2de63c7269a35533568fcb87402

1¢
$30K$1K—

Barbora Krejcikova

polymarket · 0x4b408f8e5e035d5498751ff0048fca5fc472ce1f774d703b3e9f323590ebe3a6

0¢
$519K$1K—

Tereza Valentova

polymarket · 0xaed5fc200c5322ecf7e4d09fc8287de5325c3c64b15c1e85af9f945abdb7aaeb

0¢
$466K$2K—

Katie Boulter

polymarket · 0xf81572e9960e1e36136f9d3ab4b5f753270089ee444481f3a4d9433408482da3

0¢
$48K$648—

Emma Raducanu

polymarket · 0xab8592c00f5719960d288f5413d1983e0727fc532c97762495ee73a7cc8f45d9

0¢
$41K$1K—

Beatriz Haddad Maia

polymarket · 0xe1c25af006f1f9c4da3f7b0047b2929c07e804c4104342074f7a74a12c27a59f

0¢
$25K$580—

Diana Shnaider

polymarket · 0xe0d1e91f91b13d4aea9ef6742d9f2d0730cb04012da4549e54fcc331a1b714c7

0¢
$23K$2K—

Marie Bouzkova

polymarket · 0x43c4d1796b7d8e7a6f54d655c282daec9b6883edbe21434dd9b85a5b5f499453

0¢
$22K$460—

Donna Vekic

polymarket · 0x69e0442186b71c5cac4fa6304311e39101ed048983a200fc8e376a9dadd7de13

0¢
$19K$665—

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.