This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pump.fun launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Pump.fun, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
CurrentDecember 31, 2026 | 43.0% |
March 31, 2026 | 11.0% |
December 31 | 0.0% |
June 30 | 0.0% |
July 31 | 0.0% |
July 18 | 0.0% |
August 31 | 0.0% |
September 30 | 0.0% |