This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Randy Villegas | 50.0% |
Jasmeet Bains | 50.0% |
CurrentDavid Valadao | 47.5% |
Rudy Salas | 45.5% |
Chris Mathys | 45.5% |