Alphabet · 2nd largest company end of May
Alphabet is priced at 82¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 82¢ bid, 82¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 8 inside 2nd largest company end of May?.
Price history
82¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Outcome
Alphabet
Rank
#1 of 8
Leader
Alphabet 82¢
Range
0¢-82¢
Family volume
$892K
Identifier
0xc7d6aa9c...7170
May 25, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
82¢
Ask
82¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$18K
Family rank
#1 of 8
8 outcomes · 2nd largest company end of May?
Closes
May 31, 2026
Family volume
$892K
Orderbook snapshot
82 / 82¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
0xc7d6aa9c…7170
Event family
2nd largest company end of May.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$892K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Alphabet 82¢
Current share
14%
Alphabet
polymarket · 0xc7d6aa9c99200f929db6f7b20585713162722c1aac273ae2e723593361227170
Apple
polymarket · 0xefa10d84a527e0f0dd6701099be4dbae6399f73607621e9d1d299536a6717053
NVIDIA
polymarket · 0x32039e312d108f4bc3f15bedf5e73edb9a728c9fd338497d0ca2d81c97afbbc4
Amazon
polymarket · 0x87426f1af3773388f7bb55bcbc48e55c5e183b43181f9e4b82daf1a19ff18217
Microsoft
polymarket · 0x4421677da3196f34742d804c32c228c9991114cc34e6ac3b8eb7d41c2de078e2
Tesla
polymarket · 0x5ea9d90d158a8df14b2c6f1887b7137f97621297ffef8544b1ad597cce746655
Broadcom
polymarket · 0x83434b084ca795751fa9c3ba7a0035af073bf7873c1d7dc817157a87d1186e80
Saudi Aramco
polymarket · 0x5a5a8787c6ad387176e54b1fec63c0df18bbfee680a6f2e6e2f9c64645b89580
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 82% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.