This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
June 30, 2026 | 32.5% |
October 10 | 0.0% |
September 15 | 0.0% |
CurrentOctober 31, 2025 | 0.0% |
December 31, 2025 | 0.0% |
October 17 | 0.0% |
November 30, 2025 | 0.0% |