This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
No meeting before 2027 | 79.0% |
Hungary | 6.1% |
US | 4.9% |
Turkey | 2.9% |
Saudi Arabia | 2.0% |
Russia | 1.6% |
India | 1.5% |
China | 1.3% |
Switzerland | 1.1% |
Ukraine | 1.1% |
Qatar / UAE | 1.1% |
Kazakhstan | 0.8% |
Belarus | 0.7% |
Italy / Vatican | 0.4% |
Country S | 0.0% |
Country E | 0.0% |
Country F | 0.0% |
Country G | 0.0% |
Country H | 0.0% |
Country I | 0.0% |
Country J | 0.0% |
CurrentCountry K | 0.0% |
Country M | 0.0% |
Country N | 0.0% |
Country O | 0.0% |
Country P | 0.0% |
Country Q | 0.0% |
Country R | 0.0% |
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