This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Max Verstappen | 26.5% |
George Russell | 21.5% |
Lando Norris | 15.0% |
Fernando Alonso | 9.4% |
Oscar Piastri | 8.5% |
Kimi Antonelli | 5.5% |
Charles Leclerc | 5.5% |
Lewis Hamilton | 2.8% |
Isack Hadjar | 1.6% |
Nico Hülkenberg | 1.5% |
Gabriel Bortoleto | 1.0% |
Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0.9% |
Pierre Gasly | 0.8% |
Lance Stroll | 0.8% |
Alexander Albon | 0.7% |
Sergio Pérez | 0.5% |
Valtteri Bottas | 0.4% |
Liam Lawson | 0.3% |
Franco Colapinto | 0.3% |
Oliver Bearman | 0.2% |
Esteban Ocon | 0.1% |
CurrentArvid Lindblad | 0.1% |
Other | 0.0% |
Driver I | 0.0% |
Driver H | 0.0% |
Driver G | 0.0% |
Driver F | 0.0% |
Driver E | 0.0% |
Driver D | 0.0% |
Driver C | 0.0% |
Driver B | 0.0% |
Driver A | 0.0% |