Apple · 3rd largest company end of May
Apple is priced at 95¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 96¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 8 inside 3rd largest company end of May?.
Price history
95¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Outcome
Apple
Rank
#1 of 8
Leader
Apple 96¢
Range
0¢-96¢
Family volume
$346K
Identifier
0x2416ec42...aef5
May 28, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
96¢
Ask
96¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$5K
Family rank
#1 of 8
8 outcomes · 3rd largest company end of May?
Closes
May 31, 2026
Family volume
$346K
Orderbook snapshot
96 / 96¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
0x2416ec42…aef5
Event family
3rd largest company end of May.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$346K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Apple 96¢
Current share
27%
Apple
polymarket · 0x2416ec42d46d41184dcc5a4e72f3522f79591bd3324fefcc35148cde7d91aef5
Alphabet
polymarket · 0xd87f2f83f286d6fa2bee0ab9952f77cae03cea3656d419c7e75a9ae31949991e
NVIDIA
polymarket · 0xa9ea404ee746ae6b3c14ac41aa888ca2538888192dd9169a7911368ccc570db4
Saudi Aramco
polymarket · 0x50530532b29f309c39d49c0b327f4bfa248452fba0358d4bc20a7a90c8cea146
Microsoft
polymarket · 0x0df9e5570fe5beb1ae556a3045f6c27afb7123ae64bccdf53acda5247fa85a91
Tesla
polymarket · 0x66a6e7ec8c08fd5be28a556a8731bf597813668707662833625c0db5129fa57f
Amazon
polymarket · 0xb1e01a0c605d6a3a5159d1e1d591c658676fe683c4fbccddbe524ae9ad520a41
Broadcom
polymarket · 0x5df3867811688479de5f2794c432638b07c6b17bd65a36693f8e8ad3cd934215
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket
Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 95% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.