This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Current June 30, 2026 | 2.1% |
December 31, 2025 | 0.0% |