The 2026 Nice municipal election is scheduled for May 15 and May 22, 2026. The Mayor of Nice, France is elected via a three-round system; if no candidate obtains an absolute majority after two rounds of voting the election proceeds to a third round which requires only a simple majority. In case of a tie, the oldest candidate wins. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Christian Estrosi | 66.5% |
Eric Ciotti | 33.0% |
Juliette Chesnel-Leroux | 1.5% |
Jean-Marc Governatori | 0.3% |
Mireille Damiano | 0.3% |
CurrentOther | 0.0% |
Person G | 0.0% |
Person H | 0.0% |
Person I | 0.0% |
Person J | 0.0% |
Person K | 0.0% |
Person A | 0.0% |
Person B | 0.0% |
Person C | 0.0% |
Person D | 0.0% |
Person E | 0.0% |
Person F | 0.0% |