This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Olivia | 88.1% |
Emma | 5.1% |
Charlotte | 2.5% |
Amelia | 2.1% |
Mia | 1.5% |
Sophia | 0.4% |
Sofia | 0.3% |
Ava | 0.3% |
Isabella | 0.1% |
Evelyn | 0.1% |
Other | 0.0% |
Q | 0.0% |
R | 0.0% |
S | 0.0% |
T | 0.0% |
U | 0.0% |
V | 0.0% |
W | 0.0% |
X | 0.0% |
Y | 0.0% |
Z | 0.0% |
CurrentA | 0.0% |
B | 0.0% |
C | 0.0% |
D | 0.0% |
E | 0.0% |
F | 0.0% |
G | 0.0% |
H | 0.0% |
I | 0.0% |
J | 0.0% |
K | 0.0% |
L | 0.0% |
M | 0.0% |
N | 0.0% |
O | 0.0% |
P | 0.0% |