This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Consider selling on Kalshi at higher price
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
December 31, 2026 | 59.5% |
September 30, 2026 | 45.0% |
CurrentJune 30, 2026 | 22.0% |
March 31, 2026 | 3.5% |
December 31, 2025 | 0.0% |
Found 3 similar markets on other platforms.
| 5.0% |
| $275 |
| Trade |
Kalshi | 99.0% | $122,789 | Trade |