This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Illinois, scheduled to take place on March 17, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Illinois Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Darren Bailey | 90.0% |
Rick Heidner | 4.0% |
CurrentTed Dabrowski | 3.5% |
James Mendrick | 2.9% |
Max Solomon | 1.8% |
Joseph Severino | 0.5% |
Gregg Moore | 0.1% |
Candidate Z | 0.0% |
Candidate S | 0.0% |
Candidate T | 0.0% |
Candidate U | 0.0% |
Candidate V | 0.0% |
Candidate W | 0.0% |
Candidate X | 0.0% |
Candidate Y | 0.0% |
Other | 0.0% |
Candidate A | 0.0% |
Candidate B | 0.0% |
Candidate C | 0.0% |
Candidate D | 0.0% |
Candidate E | 0.0% |
Candidate F | 0.0% |
Candidate G | 0.0% |
Candidate H | 0.0% |
Candidate I | 0.0% |
Candidate J | 0.0% |
Candidate K | 0.0% |
Candidate L | 0.0% |
Candidate M | 0.0% |
Candidate N | 0.0% |
Candidate O | 0.0% |
Candidate P | 0.0% |
Candidate Q | 0.0% |
Candidate R | 0.0% |
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