This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 36.0% |
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | 34.5% |
Avengers: Doomsday | 12.0% |
Toy Story 5 | 5.0% |
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu | 3.5% |
The Odyssey | 3.5% |
Dune: Messiah | 2.3% |
CurrentMichael | 1.6% |
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping | 1.4% |
Scream 7 | 1.2% |
Jumanji 3 | 1.1% |
Wuthering Heights | 0.9% |
Project Hail Mary | 0.4% |
Wicked: For Good | 0.3% |
Other | 0.0% |
Movie C | 0.0% |
Movie D | 0.0% |
Movie E | 0.0% |
Movie F | 0.0% |
Movie G | 0.0% |
Movie H | 0.0% |
Movie I | 0.0% |
Movie J | 0.0% |
Movie K | 0.0% |
Movie L | 0.0% |
Movie M | 0.0% |
Movie N | 0.0% |
Movie O | 0.0% |