The Golden Globes are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 8, 2025, and the ceremony for January 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed person whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Timothee Chalamet – Marty Supreme | 100.0% |
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon) | 0.1% |
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another) | 0.1% |
George Clooney – Jay Kelly |
Jesse Plemons – Bugonia | 0.1% |
N | 0.0% |
O | 0.0% |
L | 0.0% |
K | 0.0% |
D | 0.0% |
E | 0.0% |
G | 0.0% |
J | 0.0% |
Joaquin Phoenix – Eddington | 0.0% |
Benicio Del Toro – The Phoenician Scheme | 0.0% |
Tim Robinson – Friendship | 0.0% |
Chris Evans – Materialists | 0.0% |
Other | 0.0% |
Z | 0.0% |
Brendan Fraser – Rental Family | 0.0% |
Daniel Craig – Wake Up Dead Man | 0.0% |
CurrentWill Arnett – Is This Thing On? | 0.0% |
Liam Neeson – The Naked Gun | 0.0% |
Robert Pattinson – Mickey 17 | 0.0% |
Benedict Cumberbatch – The Roses | 0.0% |
Tonatiuh – Kiss of the Spider Woman | 0.0% |
U | 0.0% |
V | 0.0% |
W | 0.0% |
X | 0.0% |
Y | 0.0% |
M | 0.0% |
P | 0.0% |
Q | 0.0% |
S | 0.0% |
T | 0.0% |
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Kalshi |
| 99.0% |
| $6,959 |
| Trade |
Kalshi | 99.0% | $57,313 | Trade |
Kalshi | 7.0% | $544 | Trade |
Kalshi | 1.0% | $9,679 | Trade |