This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
CurrentJune 30, 2026 | 5.3% |
March 31 | 0.0% |
June 30 | 0.0% |
December 31 | 0.0% |