This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Consider selling on Kalshi at higher price
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Mark Teixeira | 65.0% |
Trey Trainor | 25.3% |
Daniel Betts | 8.6% |
Heather Tessmer | 8.0% |
CurrentMike Wheeler | 6.0% |
Jacques DuBose | 4.0% |
Ezekiel Enriquez | 1.6% |
Kyle Sinclair | 1.4% |
Chip Roy | 1.3% |
Matt Okerson | 1.3% |
Denis Goulet | 1.3% |
Candidate O | 0.0% |
Other | 0.0% |
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