Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives. If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
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| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) | 55.0% |
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) | 31.5% |
Centro Democrático (CD) | 6.9% |
CurrentPartido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative) |
4.0% |
Cambio Radical (CR) | 1.4% |
MIRA‑CJL coalition (MIRA‑CJL) | 0.4% |
Green Alliance | 0.3% |
Partido de la U (La U) | 0.3% |
Other | 0.0% |
Party E | 0.0% |
Party F | 0.0% |
Party G | 0.0% |
Party H | 0.0% |
Party I | 0.0% |
Party J | 0.0% |
Party K | 0.0% |
Party L | 0.0% |
Party A | 0.0% |
Party B | 0.0% |
Party C | 0.0% |
Party D | 0.0% |
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