This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Elon Musk | 89.5% |
CurrentLarry Page | 3.7% |
Bernard Arnault | 1.9% |
Warren Buffett | 1.2% |
Jensen Huang | 0.9% |
Mark Zuckerberg | 0.9% |
Person Z | 0.0% |
Person N | 0.0% |
Person O | 0.0% |
Person P | 0.0% |
Person Q | 0.0% |
Person X | 0.0% |
Person Y | 0.0% |
Other | 0.0% |
Person A | 0.0% |
Person B | 0.0% |
Person C | 0.0% |
Person D | 0.0% |
Person E | 0.0% |
Person G | 0.0% |
Person H | 0.0% |
Person K | 0.0% |
Person L | 0.0% |
Person M | 0.0% |