Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency
Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
27¢ current
Contract brief
If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$141K
Identifier
KXAMEND25-29
Jun 8, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
27¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$95
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Family volume
$141K
Orderbook snapshot
27 / 28¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Identifier
KXAMEND25-29
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 6¢, +21¢ versus this page.
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$141K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency 27¢
Current share
100%
Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency
kalshi · KXAMEND25-29
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.