Botafogo vs Internacional Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 83% probability that Botafogo vs Internacional Winner?. This contract trades at 83¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026. This market exhibits severe dysfunction with zero liquidity ($0 volume and open interest) and a pricing anomaly where the Yes contract trades at 0¢ despite a 13¢ bid-ask spread, creating a nonsensical 6347% implied yield.
Analysis
This market exhibits severe dysfunction with zero liquidity ($0 volume and open interest) and a pricing anomaly where the Yes contract trades at 0¢ despite a 13¢ bid-ask spread, creating a nonsensical 6347% implied yield. The resolution criteria appears malformed—the title asks for a match winner but the contract resolves Yes only on a tie outcome, suggesting either a data error or intentionally inverted contract design that may confuse traders. With 20 days to expiry and the underlying match already past its original April 25 scheduled date, this market lacks credibility and should be avoided until liquidity materializes and terms are clarified.
Resolution rules
If Tie wins the Botafogo vs Internacional professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXBRASILEIROGAME-26APR25BOTINT-TIE yes 100