Will Hull City win the EFL Championship?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Hull City win the EFL Championship?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing May 18, 2026. Hull City is priced at an extremely depressed 4¢ with a massive 27,805% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the market has essentially written them off despite 32 days remaining until the 2025-26 season concludes.
Analysis
Hull City is priced at an extremely depressed 4¢ with a massive 27,805% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the market has essentially written them off despite 32 days remaining until the 2025-26 season concludes. The zero 24-hour volume combined with only $2,020 in open interest indicates severe illiquidity, making this price potentially unreliable and vulnerable to sharp moves if any significant betting activity emerges. The 24 Cliff Risk Index and extreme yield asymmetry warrant caution—this appears to be a thin, stale market where the quoted price may not reflect true conviction rather than genuine odds.
Resolution rules
If Hull City is the 2025-26 EFL Championship Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXEFLCHAMPIONSHIP-26-HUL yes 100