First FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 90 days become law before Jan 1, 2027
At least 90 days is priced at 60¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 5 inside Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least.
Price history
60¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
If the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 90 days has become law after Issuance and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 90 days
Rank
#2 of 5
Leader
At least 30 days 76¢
Range
1¢-76¢
Family volume
$6K
Identifier
KXFISALENGTH-26MAY-FISA90D
Jun 16, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
60¢
Ask
63¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#2 of 5
5 outcomes · Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$6K
Orderbook snapshot
60 / 63¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 90 days has become law after Issuance and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXFISALENGTH-26MAY-FISA90D
Event family
Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
At least 30 days 76¢
Current share
30%
At least 30 days
kalshi · KXFISALENGTH-26MAY-FISA30D
At least 90 days
kalshi · KXFISALENGTH-26MAY-FISA90D
At least 2 years
kalshi · KXFISALENGTH-26MAY-FISA2Y
At least 1 year
kalshi · KXFISALENGTH-26MAY-FISA1Y
At least 5 years
kalshi · KXFISALENGTH-26MAY-FISA5Y
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.