First FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 2 years become law before Jan 1, 2027
At least 2 years is priced at 41¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 42¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 5 inside Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least.
Price history
41¢ current
+38¢Contract brief
If the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 2 years has become law after Issuance and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 2 years
Rank
#4 of 5
Leader
At least 90 days 59¢
Range
1¢-59¢
Family volume
$57
Identifier
KXFISALENGTH-26MAY-FISA2Y
Jun 26, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
42¢
Ask
47¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$6K
Family rank
#4 of 5
5 outcomes · Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$57
Orderbook snapshot
42 / 47¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 2 years has become law after Issuance and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXFISALENGTH-26MAY-FISA2Y
Event family
Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$57
Outcomes
5
Highest price
At least 90 days 59¢
Current share
0%
At least 90 days
kalshi · KXFISALENGTH-26MAY-FISA90D
At least 30 days
kalshi · KXFISALENGTH-26MAY-FISA30D
At least 1 year
kalshi · KXFISALENGTH-26MAY-FISA1Y
At least 2 years
kalshi · KXFISALENGTH-26MAY-FISA2Y
At least 5 years
kalshi · KXFISALENGTH-26MAY-FISA5Y
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 41% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.