Will Osasuna be Relegated from La Liga in 2025-26 Season?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Osasuna be Relegated from La Liga in 2025-26 Season?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing May 25, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $28 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $28 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The 7¢ spread is notably wide relative to the contract value, and the astronomical 22,993% implied yield on the Yes side suggests the market is severely mispriced or reflects minimal trading activity rather than genuine probability assessment. With just 38 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 24, this contract carries substantial execution risk and should be treated as illiquid speculation rather than a reliable probability estimate.
Resolution rules
If Osasuna is relegated from La Liga in 2025-26 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXLALIGARELEGATION-26-OSA yes 100