Dune
Before Dec 1, 2026 is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Will Dune: Part Three be released Worldwide before.
Price history
6¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If Dune: Part Three has been publicly released Worldwide through official channels before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Dec 1, 2026
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Before Jan 1, 2027 90¢
Range
5¢-90¢
Family volume
$20
Identifier
KXMEDIARELEASEDUNE3-DU-DEC01
May 25, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$6K
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Will Dune: Part Three be released Worldwide before
Closes
Dec 1, 2026
Family volume
$20
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 11¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Dune: Part Three has been publicly released Worldwide through official channels before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 1, 2026
Identifier
KXMEDIARELEASEDUNE3-DU-DEC01
Event family
Will Dune: Part Three be released Worldwide before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$20
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Before Jan 1, 2027 90¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.