SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 1, 2026176 days left

Will Dune: Part Three be released Worldwide before Nov 1, 2026?

This contract is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

7¢
$3K volume
$918 liquidity
64825% of event volume

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$4

Best sibling

Before Dec 1, 2026 4¢

Ticker

KXMEDIARELEASEDUNE3-DU-NOV01

Market snapshot

Before Nov 1, 2026 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Dune: Part Three be released Worldwide before Nov 1, 2026?. The displayed quote is 7¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $4. In the Will Dune: Part Three be released Worldwide before family, this outcome ranks #2 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Before Nov 1, 2026

Family rank

#2 of 3

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Nov 1, 2026

24h volume

$4

Family context

3 outcomes · Will Dune: Part Three be released Worldwide before

Quote range

4¢-89¢

Family leader

Before Jan 1, 2027 89¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 5m ago

Venue identifier: KXMEDIARELEASEDUNE3-DU-NOV01. Family volume: $4.

Price history

7¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 7¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
100¢860
5¢53
4¢26
3¢400
2¢200
AskSize
7¢150
8¢53
9¢276
11¢400
13¢24

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Dune: Part Three has been publicly released Worldwide through official channels before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Identifier

KXMEDIARELEASEDUNE3-DU-NOV01

Event family

Will Dune: Part Three be released Worldwide before.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$4

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Before Jan 1, 2027 89¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3941.2%

IY (No)

10.9%

Adj IY

1971%

CRI

19

Overround

-0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3941.2%
10.9%
Adj IY
1971%
19
Overround
-0.0%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index