Dune
Before Dec 1, 2026 is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Will Dune: Part Three be released Worldwide before.
Price history
3¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If Dune: Part Three has been publicly released Worldwide through official channels before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Dec 1, 2026
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Before Jan 1, 2027 93¢
Range
2¢-93¢
Family volume
$72
Identifier
KXMEDIARELEASEDUNE3-DU-DEC01
Jul 13, 2026, 6:14 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$7K
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Will Dune: Part Three be released Worldwide before
Closes
Dec 1, 2026
Family volume
$72
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 4¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Dune: Part Three has been publicly released Worldwide through official channels before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 1, 2026
Identifier
KXMEDIARELEASEDUNE3-DU-DEC01
Event family
Will Dune: Part Three be released Worldwide before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$72
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Before Jan 1, 2027 93¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.