Toronto vs Atlanta Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 1% probability that Toronto vs Atlanta Winner?. This contract trades at 1¢ on Kalshi, closing April 25, 2026. This market exhibits severe illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 2233.8% implied yield on the Yes side.
Analysis
This market exhibits severe illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 2233.8% implied yield on the Yes side. The 8¢ spread is unusually wide relative to the quoted price, and with only 21 days to expiry, the market appears either abandoned or potentially mispriced given that the underlying MLS match was originally scheduled for April 25, 2026—suggesting possible fixture postponement or cancellation that hasn't been reflected in market closure. The Cliff Risk Index of 1 combined with zero liquidity creates significant execution risk for any trader attempting to establish a position.
Resolution rules
If Toronto wins the Toronto vs Atlanta professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXMLSGAME-26APR25TORATL-TOR yes 100