Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Desmond Bane: 1+ threes"?

Accepted Answer

This prediction market is currently priced at 85¢ (85% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 9, 2026. 15 days remaining.

Question 2

What is the implied yield on "Desmond Bane: 1+ threes"?

Accepted Answer

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 396.5% and 14963.6% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Question 3

Where can I trade "Desmond Bane: 1+ threes"?

Accepted Answer

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	396.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	14963.6%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	7307%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	6	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	10.8%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.02	Liquidity Availability Score

Desmond Bane: 1+ threes

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