What is the current probability for "Will Miami (FL) qualify for the College Baseball World Series?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 49¢ (49% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on June 26, 2026. 62 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Miami (FL) qualify for the College Baseball World Series?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 14066.6% and 24.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Miami (FL) qualify for the College Baseball World Series?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Miami (FL) qualify for the College Baseball World Series?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 49% probability that Will Miami (FL) qualify for the College Baseball World Series?. This contract trades at 49¢ on Kalshi, closing June 26, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite a massive 93-cent spread, suggesting virtually no trading activity or market maker presence.

████████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

49¢mid

Bid/Ask 4/94¢·Spread 90¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Jun 26, 2026·62d remaining

KXNCAABBPLAYOFFS-26-MIA

7-day price20 snapshots · 4 regime

6¢4¢ current

Apr 183¢Apr 25

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite a massive 93-cent spread, suggesting virtually no trading activity or market maker presence. The 0-cent Yes price implies Miami has essentially zero probability of qualifying, yet the astronomical 17,338% implied yield on the Yes side indicates the market is severely mispriced or abandoned—likely a stale quote with no recent orders. With 68 days until expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 32, this appears to be a dead market that should be avoided until liquidity materializes.

Resolution rules

If Miami (FL) qualifies for the College Baseball World Series in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 14066.6%

IY (No) 24.4%

Adj IY 14067%

CRI 24

RV 3564%

VR 3.34

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	14066.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	24.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	14067%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	24	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	3564%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	3.34	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	2.7/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	4.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

90¢

Computed

4/25/2026, 7:29:48 AM

Indicators computed 4/25/2026, 7:23:44 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNCAABBPLAYOFFS-26-MIA yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →