Will Oklahoma qualify for the College Baseball World Series?

Prediction markets currently give a 50% probability that Will Oklahoma qualify for the College Baseball World Series?. This contract trades at 50¢ on Kalshi, closing June 26, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 17,537% implied yield on the Yes side.

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50¢mid
Bid/Ask 4/95¢·Spread 91¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Jun 26, 2026·62d remaining
KXNCAABBPLAYOFFS-26-OKLA
7-day price16 snapshots · 3 regime
6¢4¢ current
Apr 183¢Apr 25

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 17,537% implied yield on the Yes side. The 93¢ spread is unusually wide for a binary contract, indicating virtually no market participants are willing to trade at either extreme. With 67 days until expiration and Oklahoma historically a competitive baseball program, the zero price likely reflects a data artifact or abandoned market rather than genuine belief in zero qualification probability, making this unsuitable for serious trading.

Resolution rules

If Oklahoma qualifies for the College Baseball World Series in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 14066.6%
IY (No) 24.4%
Adj IY 14067%
CRI 24
RV 3087%
VR 2.89
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)14066.6%
IY (No)24.4%
Adj IY14067%
CRI24
RV3087%
VR2.89
IAR2.0/h
Overround4.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
91¢
Computed
4/25/2026, 7:30:30 AM
Indicators computed 4/25/2026, 7:23:44 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNCAABBPLAYOFFS-26-OKLA yes 100

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