Will Oregon St. qualify for the College Baseball World Series?
Prediction markets currently give a 52% probability that Will Oregon St. qualify for the College Baseball World Series?. This contract trades at 52¢ on Kalshi, closing June 26, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 8429% implied yield on the Yes side.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 8429% implied yield on the Yes side. The 90¢ spread is unusually wide for a binary contract, and the recent price movement from 2¢ to 6¢ likely reflects minimal trading rather than meaningful probability shifts. With 68 days until expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 16, this contract carries significant execution risk and should be treated as illiquid until volume materializes.
Resolution rules
If Oregon St. qualifies for the College Baseball World Series in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNCAABBPLAYOFFS-26-ORST yes 100