Will Tennessee qualify for the College Baseball World Series?
Prediction markets currently give a 50% probability that Will Tennessee qualify for the College Baseball World Series?. This contract trades at 50¢ on Kalshi, closing June 26, 2026. This market shows severe illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 17,380.7% implied yield on Yes contracts.
Analysis
This market shows severe illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 17,380.7% implied yield on Yes contracts. The 93¢ spread is exceptionally wide, indicating virtually no market makers are willing to quote both sides, and the Cliff Risk Index of 32 suggests significant uncertainty about fair valuation near expiration. With 68 days until the 6/26/2026 close and Tennessee typically a competitive baseball program, the zero price likely reflects a dead market rather than genuine consensus that qualification is impossible.
Resolution rules
If Tennessee qualifies for the College Baseball World Series in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNCAABBPLAYOFFS-26-TENN yes 100