Will Vanderbilt qualify for the College Baseball World Series?

Prediction markets currently give a 9% probability that Will Vanderbilt qualify for the College Baseball World Series?. This contract trades at 9¢ on Kalshi, closing June 26, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite a massive 93¢ spread, suggesting virtually no trading activity or price discovery.

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9¢mid
Bid/Ask 4/14¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Jun 26, 2026·62d remaining
KXNCAABBPLAYOFFS-26-VAN

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite a massive 93¢ spread, suggesting virtually no trading activity or price discovery. The 0¢ Yes price implies an extraordinarily bullish No outcome (16.6% yield vs. 17,367.7% on Yes), which is counterintuitive given Vanderbilt's historical strength in college baseball and likely reflects the market's complete lack of liquidity rather than genuine probability assessment. With 68 days to the June 2026 close and a Cliff Risk Index of 32, this appears to be a dead market that should be avoided until meaningful liquidity emerges.

Resolution rules

If Vanderbilt qualifies for the College Baseball World Series in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 14066.6%
IY (No) 24.4%
Adj IY 7033%
CRI 24
Overround 4.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)14066.6%
IY (No)24.4%
Adj IY7033%
CRI24
Overround4.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
10¢
Computed
4/25/2026, 7:31:12 AM
Indicators computed 4/25/2026, 7:23:44 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNCAABBPLAYOFFS-26-VAN yes 100

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