What is the current probability for "Who will be the next manager of Real Madrid?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 19¢ (19% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on January 8, 2027.

Where can I trade "Who will be the next manager of Real Madrid?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Who will be the next manager of Real Madrid?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 19% probability that Who will be the next manager of Real Madrid?. This contract trades at 19¢ on Kalshi, closing January 8, 2027.

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19¢

Bid/Ask 1/7¢·Spread 6¢·Vol $0·OI $7·Closes Jan 8, 2027

KXNEXTMANAGERLALIGA-27RMA-AIRA

7-day price16 snapshots · 4 regime

10¢1¢ current

Apr 201¢Apr 30

Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at 12¢(Δ +7¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.88IY 1095.7%Close-time delta 207h

Resolution rules

If Andoni Iraola becomes the next permanent manager of Real Madrid before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

6¢

Computed

4/30/2026, 5:16:48 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNEXTMANAGERLALIGA-27RMA-AIRA yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →