SimpleFunctions

Green Bay · KXNFLNFCNORTH-27

Green Bay is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside KXNFLNFCNORTH-27.

Price history

27¢ current

3¢
30¢
May 12, 2026Jun 4, 2026

Contract brief

If Green Bay wins the Pro Football NFC North Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Green Bay

Rank

#2 of 4

Leader

Detroit 34¢

Range

16¢-34¢

Family volume

$677

Identifier

KXNFLNFCNORTH-27-GB

Jun 8, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 22m ago

Implied probability

27¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 8, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 22m ago

Bid

25¢

Ask

27¢

Spread

Reported volume

$14K

Family rank

#2 of 4

4 outcomes · KXNFLNFCNORTH-27

Closes

Jan 25, 2027

Family volume

$677

Orderbook snapshot

25 / 27¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
25¢2.3K
24¢535
23¢40
20¢13
14¢52
AskSize
27¢1.8K
28¢501
29¢28
34¢1
35¢724

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Green Bay wins the Pro Football NFC North Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 25, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLNFCNORTH-27-GB

SF Signal
SF Index
217.76
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at 26¢, +1¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Event family

KXNFLNFCNORTH-27.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$677

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Detroit 34¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

473.4%

IY (No)

52.6%

Adj IY

218%

CRI

3

Overround

-0.0%

LAS

0.08

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

473.4%
52.6%
Adj IY
218%
3
Overround
-0.0%
LAS
0.08

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.