SimpleFunctions

Minnesota · KXNFLNFCNORTH-27

Minnesota is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 4 inside KXNFLNFCNORTH-27.

Price history

22¢ current

+7¢
10¢20¢
May 13, 2026Jun 8, 2026

Contract brief

If Minnesota wins the Pro Football NFC North Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Minnesota

Rank

#4 of 4

Leader

Detroit 34¢

Range

16¢-34¢

Family volume

$677

Identifier

KXNFLNFCNORTH-27-MIN

Jun 8, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 27m ago

Implied probability

22¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 8, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 27m ago

Bid

16¢

Ask

21¢

Spread

24h volume

$535

Family rank

#4 of 4

4 outcomes · KXNFLNFCNORTH-27

Closes

Jan 25, 2027

Family volume

$677

Orderbook snapshot

16 / 21¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
16¢60
15¢650
14¢3.5K
12¢3.0K
11¢12
AskSize
21¢20
22¢30
24¢1.3K
25¢499
26¢3

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Minnesota wins the Pro Football NFC North Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 25, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLNFCNORTH-27-MIN

SF Signal
SF Index
828.30
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at 25¢, -3¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Event family

KXNFLNFCNORTH-27.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$677

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Detroit 34¢

Current share

79%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

828.3%

IY (No)

30.1%

Adj IY

828%

CRI

5

RV

609%

VR

2.17

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

828.3%
30.1%
Adj IY
828%
5
RV
609%
VR
2.17
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.